Forecasters Warn of Very Active Hurricane Season Ahead in 2007
National News • April 3, 2007
Atmospheric science experts at Colorado State University have increased their forecast for the 2007 hurricane season, largely due to the rapid dissipation of El Niņo conditions.
The Colorado team ...
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Subject: A few facts
Posted On: April 6, 2007, 10:23 pm CDT
Posted By: Actuary
Comment:
1. William Gray does not believe in human-induced global warning. His predictions cannot, then, be based on that.
2. Kerry Emanuel is the leading proponent of human-induced global warming as the cause of increased hurricane activity, but even Emanuel says that Gore's claim that global warming caused Katrina is bogus.
3. Everyone, regardless of their scientific belief as to why, predicted a higher than average hurricane season last year, partly on the assumption that the 5-7 year El Nino Southern Oscillation would remain in a weak La Nina state.
4. The La Nina cycle ended and was replaced by an El Nino cycle, which suppressed hurricane formation.
5. The next El Nino won't occur until 5-7 more years, so the predictions are similar to last year's, but with greater certainty this time.
Subject: A few facts
2. Kerry Emanuel is the leading proponent of human-induced global warming as the cause of increased hurricane activity, but even Emanuel says that Gore's claim that global warming caused Katrina is bogus.
3. Everyone, regardless of their scientific belief as to why, predicted a higher than average hurricane season last year, partly on the assumption that the 5-7 year El Nino Southern Oscillation would remain in a weak La Nina state.
4. The La Nina cycle ended and was replaced by an El Nino cycle, which suppressed hurricane formation.
5. The next El Nino won't occur until 5-7 more years, so the predictions are similar to last year's, but with greater certainty this time.