Posted On: April 9, 2007, 8:22 am CDT

Posted By: Actuary

Paul, you need to consider more than one year before making comparisons to the easter bunny, unless you mean to say that 2006 was the first year you haven't seen him in the last seven.

Bloomberg, 2005:

In many years, "Dr. Gray's Tropical Storm Forecast,'' the title of a Colorado State Web site where the free report is updated monthly during the hurricane season, proved uncannily accurate. Early in 2002, 2003 and 2004, the reports correctly predicted the number of named storms in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico for the entire year.

Last year, when a record 28 named storms formed in the Atlantic, the Colorado State report sounded an early alarm, warning in May 2005 of "a well-above-average hurricane season'' and predicting 15 named storms.

Hurricane Protection Magazine, 2004:

For the sixth consecutive year, the CSU forecast team was on track with their seasonal hurricane forecast. The team's forecast numbers were on target with the number of named storms and hurricanes that occurred, but fell short in predicting the large amount of intense hurricanes that formed and concentrated in and around Florida in August and September.