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Gray Lowers Hurricance Forecast to 4 Intense Storms

National News • August 8, 2007
Noted hurricane researcher William Gray from Colorado State University has lowered his 2007 forecast slightly, citing cooler water in the Pacific and more atmospheric dust from Africa in ...

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Subject: Forecasting is Moot

Posted On: August 8, 2007, 12:52 pm CDT
Posted By: ClaimsGuy
Comment:
What exactly is the value-add to a hurricane forecast? It's somebody's best guess as to how many hurricanes and how severe they'll be. What are people supposed to do with that un-actionable information? Ma nature will throw as many storms at whatever severity levels she wishes. We can't diminish their severity or change where they'll make landfall. Nobody is going to do anything different because of the forecast. Insurance companies rely on reliable historical data and claims experience so they don't benefit from it either.

The early warning system we have in place has been fine tuned over the years and provides more than enough time for responsible people to get out of the way or put up their hurricane shutters. This whole forecasting thing is the pet project of a few nerds. It's inaccurate, unreliable, and a waste of resources. Anybody can "re-forecast" halfway through the season. An what is a hurricane researcher doing in the mountains of Colorado anyway?
Subject Posted By Posted On
Give me dates Mickey
Aug 13, 2007, 9:00 am
Dart Board Science Lee Walther
Aug 10, 2007, 4:39 pm
My Predictions . . . . CLR
Aug 9, 2007, 12:12 pm
RE: Boy, does have his employer fooled! RAL
Aug 8, 2007, 6:03 pm
Boy, does have his employer fooled! Reality Check
Aug 8, 2007, 3:41 pm
Maybe Nebraskan
Aug 8, 2007, 3:13 pm
Hurricance? Spell Checker
Aug 8, 2007, 2:29 pm
RE: GRAY'S HURRICANE PREDICTION Ratemaker
Aug 8, 2007, 2:19 pm
Ankle biters Little Frog
Aug 8, 2007, 1:20 pm
GRAY'S HURRICANE PREDICTION KAREN
Aug 8, 2007, 1:13 pm
Track record? Mike
Aug 8, 2007, 1:12 pm
RE: Forecasting is Moot Fred
Aug 8, 2007, 1:11 pm
RE: Gray needs to retire! Hurricanes Smurricanes
Aug 8, 2007, 1:11 pm
Forecasting is Moot ClaimsGuy
Aug 8, 2007, 12:52 pm
Gray needs to retire! Kathy
Aug 8, 2007, 12:42 pm
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