Experts Predict 70 Percent Above Normal Hurricane Activity
Southeast News • May 18, 2005
As the season's first tropical storm now brews in the Pacific and is about to cross-over into the southern Gulf of Mexico toward Cuba, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has ...
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Subject: Correction on interpretation of NOAA hurricane forecast
Posted On: May 26, 2005, 9:16 am CDT
Posted By: NOAA/AOML Outreach
Comment:
This article states that "NOAA predicts hurricane activity will be 70 percent above normal." In fact, per the NOAA Seasonal forecast (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2438.htm) NOAA predicted that there will be a 70% chance that activity will be above normal, not 70% above normal.
The article also states "Dr. William Gray.. predicted to attendees at the recent Governor's Hurricane Preparedness Conference in Tampa a 73 percent likelihood for a hurricane to hit the Florida's Gulf coast. and Florida's eastern coast has a higher probability of hurricane landfalls with an 82 percent probability. In the report, he said there's a greater chance for more dangerous hurricanes to occur on the east coast rather than in the Gulf."
In fact, the 73% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire Gulf coast, and the 82% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline.
Subject: Correction on interpretation of NOAA hurricane forecast
The article also states "Dr. William Gray.. predicted to attendees at the recent Governor's Hurricane Preparedness Conference in Tampa a 73 percent likelihood for a hurricane to hit the Florida's Gulf coast. and Florida's eastern coast has a higher probability of hurricane landfalls with an 82 percent probability. In the report, he said there's a greater chance for more dangerous hurricanes to occur on the east coast rather than in the Gulf."
In fact, the 73% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire Gulf coast, and the 82% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline.