Guy Carpenter Says ‘Global Warming’ a Reality – Citing IPCC Report

September 18, 2013

  • September 18, 2013 at 1:55 pm
    insurance is fun! says:
    Hot debate. What do you think?
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    Yet another mainstay in this very conservtive industry actually believes in science. What is this world coming to?

  • September 18, 2013 at 2:55 pm
    jw says:
    Hot debate. What do you think?
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    Who is this “Guy’ person that would dare to contradict all the anti science bible bangers and tea party greats.

  • September 18, 2013 at 6:04 pm
    It IS a reality!! says:
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    My butt is getting warm just thinking about it!!!

  • September 18, 2013 at 11:31 pm
    R James says:
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    Thew rate or warming 1970 – 2000 is nearly identical to the rate 1910 – 1940. How does he explain this? There were no big power stations in 1910. Of course, AR4 is well out of date. AR5 will be released soon – about to hold crisis talks first due to all the climate models not predicting the lack of warming over the past 17 years.

    • September 19, 2013 at 9:33 am
      Captain Planet says:
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      Really, R James? Well, The Arctic called and wants its permafrost back.

      • September 20, 2013 at 5:22 pm
        R James says:
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        Satellite records for the Arctic go back 30 something years. In the past submarines have surfaced at the South Pole, and of course, the Northwest passage is known to have been open many times before then. What makes people think low Arctic ice is unusual? Meanwhile, Antarctic ice area has been steadily growing for at least 30 years.

    • September 19, 2013 at 11:05 am
      ExciteBiker says:
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      “Tide goes in, tide comes out. Never a miscommunication. You can’t explain that.”

  • September 19, 2013 at 12:01 pm
    Water Bug says:
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    Hmmmm. The Green Weenies at the BBC said the arctic would be free of ice by 2013. There has been an increase in the ice cap of over 1,000,000 square miles.

    I spent a LOT of time researching the data and the claims on both sides of this issue and as an educated chap who works with numbers all the time and has a lot of experience with underwriting and actuarial theory, I can with a clear conscience dismiss the man made global warming theory.

    I’m tired of people yelling and waving banners just because their favorite pundit (Al Gore or Rush Limbaugh) believes something. Study the data yourself before you spout an opinion.

    • September 20, 2013 at 12:00 pm
      Jack Dale says:
      Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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      One oceanographer made that forecast. Wieslaw Maslowski was criticized by his peers for that forecast. That forecast was revised in 2011.

      That recovery was actually forecast last year.

      Arctic sea ice in 2013
      Posted on August 31, 2012 by Ed Hawkins
      A very simple straw poll today – will the Arctic sea ice extent in September 2013 be more or less than September 2012? Hoping for views and expectations from public and scientists alike.

      UPDATE: (06/09/12)
      Around 80% of the ~100 scientists at the Bjerknes conference thought that there would be MORE Arctic sea-ice in 2013, compared to 2012. Around 40% of the ‘public’ thought there would be more (but small sample of 10!).”

      I guess some of those scientists can get it right after all.

      The Bjerknes conference is devoted to Climate Change in High Latitudes.

      While is sea ice area is up, the volume is down.

      The latest observations on Arctic sea ice from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Cryosat mission, presented at a symposium in Edinburgh, Scotland, last week, reveal a new record low volume of sea ice in the northern polar region.

      This is corroborated by the Polar Science Center (PIOMAS)

    • September 20, 2013 at 5:31 pm
      R James says:
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      Exactly right. The more you study the data, the more you see that it doesn’t support the AGW hypothesis. For example, the theory predicted a hot spot in the atmosphere over the tropics – this was going to prove the theory to be correct. The trouble was, it doesn’t exist (one group was even caught faking it). So, we heard no more about it. If the theory is correct, certain things should be happening, and they’re not. If the hypothesis doesn’t match the data, then correct scientific procedure is to change the hypothesis. For global warming, they’ve been caught changing the data.

  • September 25, 2013 at 5:38 pm
    No Doubt says:
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    the thing to remember about science is that in a quest for the right answers, science is pretty much wrong along the way until someone finds the right answer.
    What I see that is not responsible is when a scientist or group of scientists, declares that they have the answer when they are lacking in objective, scientific proof.
    They may be right, but so far they haven’t proven it.
    I too remember the 70’s when scientists were proclaiming a global winter and that the earth would freeze over and life as we know it would end. Now its just the opposite.
    The only thing that hasn’t changed is certain politicians of a libral bent and certain anti growth and anti business activists cling to whatever doom proclaiming headlines fit their political agenda.
    In the end science and reason will win out, whatever the right answer ultimately is, but we need to stop listening to the folks who are forecasting the end of the world every few years unless we change everything that they see is wrong about our life, culture and lifestyle.

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