Hurricane Forecaster Delays 2012 Prediction Until Spring

December 20, 2011

December 20, 2011 at 1:22 pm

Mikey says:

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I will be anxiously awaiting

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December 20, 2011 at 1:29 pm

Confused says:

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Has anyone ever compared the actual events to his predicted events?

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- December 20, 2011 at 2:13 pm
  
  Wayne says:
  
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  Yes, they have. He is ALWAYS right on target; although they do update the forecast from time to time to match what is acturally happening.
  
  And it was not all that long ago, they started naming tropical storms because they were off by so much.
  
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December 20, 2011 at 1:33 pm

Former Status Quo says:

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it took 20 years for them to figure out that an estimate in december is just a guess…GENIUS!

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December 20, 2011 at 1:51 pm

You can't make this stuff up. says:

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“Klotzbach says they’ve tried various models but none have been successful in estimating the number of storms that early”
So they acknowledge that for 20 years they haven’t been able to get it right, but it didn’t stop that money from coming in year after year.

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December 20, 2011 at 1:51 pm

Don Hester says:

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It took twenty years for this “scholar” to admit that his predictions are guesswork. In the meantime how many thousand insureds lost coverage and were non renewed because the Carriers and reinsurers believed him.

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December 20, 2011 at 5:35 pm

Scott says:

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The posters here have said it well. I have always found the CSU forecasters to be as accurate as any weatherman. Only profession I know where you can be wrong more than 50% of the time, wind up with positive face time on tv, giving speeches, and getting nice pay increases.

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