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I noticed there was no actuarial category so I’ll respond for them – The Ravens should win unless the 49ers score more points.
This sucks for the insurance industry. The used car salesmen picked the Ravens. I always felt we were a rung up over them, no I don’t know.
So, the actuaries say there’s a 100% chance one team will win, and a 50/50 chance one won’t.
“Producers and underwriters obviously had the most time on their hands leading up to the Super Bowl as these were the two largest groups of voters”
Maybe its because producers and underwriters are the only ones who are constantly working on their computers…. Not time on their hands.
I beg to differ a bit there I am an agent and owner and a 1 girl offices that services my clients 24/7 I rarely have time to do anything but write policies and service them. Nor have I watched football all year this year. I picked Ravens because of the Ray Lewis story.
The folks that gave us RMS-11 modeling might be saying the team with the most points at end of regulation have a 72% favorable weighting.
On Jimmy Fallon this week, they did their puppy prediction and it went overwhelming to the Ravens. I’m going with that.
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Well, there goes our credibility.
Predications are meant to be broken, hence the game results of the Broncos, Patriots, and 49′ers. Thank you Ravens for proving everyone wrong.
I’d say stick with your day jobs but this is their day jobs.
Ugh, so the smartest insurance people are in marketing and advertising?
Prediction accuracy or error by profession is unclear.
If a large enough number of people were polled, predictions should have been closer to 50-50, but not exactly so, and each professional category wouldn’t vary much from that result; e.g. most categories would be close to an overall 55-45 split. Some would assume underwriters and actuaries should do better than guessing at a 50-50 rate in order for their companies to survive and thrive. But that criteria should only apply to insurance and financial risks.
Since there was great variance in predictions by the professional categories, the number polled was probably too small.
This poll was likely done for amusement, and it will certainly provide such in office kitchens today. :)
And the winner is ….. Baltimore Ravens
With the benefit of hindsight (game was yesterday)we know the Ravens win.
This will show the HOME OFFICE staff is ALWAYS right since they waited until today and picked the Ravens too.
Kinda like the real world…the HOME OFFICE IS ALWAYS RIGHT!!
Is there an inference to be made for the only category to be 100% for the 49ers?
If there had been a category called “Who cares?”, I would have participated.