is right on. I have seen it happen for years. After a period of relative calm, the lower elevation of elevated buildings gets finished out and within a year or so, it gets flooded, and we the adjusters get the irrate homeowner’s rath b/c the lower elevation below the flood plain is not covered for finished surfaces.
This is just a ploy by George Bush and Karl Rove to get people to relax so they can then crank up their Hurricane Machine next year and take out another city full of people they do not like. We all know if you read the Daily Kos that George Bush and Karl Rove and control the weather!
In the future, floods will destroy homes that are not properly insured to value and/or don’t have flood insurance. Careful citizens, along with p&c insurers, will be asked to pay for those who were too cheap or dumb to insure their
property. There will be a general outcry by those affected about how ‘heartless’ those nasty (fill in the blank republican or democrat) politicians are for not bailing out the stupid.
Does this mean that global warming isn’t the issue some people are making it out to be? Because many cited it as the reason for the increase in tropical storms & hurricanes in the 2004-2005 time period.
If that is the case, we must have already resolved the problem so all these tree hugger can just shut the ___ up.
Hurricane forecasters underestimated 2005 and overestimated 2006 and 2007. In baseball, three straight strikes and you’re out. What do you bet these crazy guys will come up with another hurricane forecast next year and their predictions will make the front page again. We would all be impressed if forecasters could predict where and when hurricanes will strike. But until then, anybody can come up with a number. By the way, the experts are probably 0 for 4 since I’m sure they didn’t predict that Florida would get hit by 4 hurricanes in 2004.
Please remember, Gorebal warming as a CONCEPT can be useful for many purposes.
Too hot? Gorebal warming. Too cold? Gorebal warming. Too many hurricanes? Gorebal warming. Acne breakout? Gorebal warming. If you suffer/enjoy any and/or all of these afflictions, call your local Nobel Peace Prize recipient. Not long after he arrives you will be systematically separated from your money.
It’s just like a prediction from an economist. Get 7 economists in a room and you’ll get 10 predictions – and none of them will wind up being correct. They still get paid for making the prediction.
Same thing with these weather predictors. They can be correct 30% of the time and still be at the top of the pack. Just because we haven’t had any hurricanes hit us the past two years doesn’t mean we should all be building on the coast, and it doesn’t mean that global warming isn’t something to take seriously.
Any one of us could probably come with a prediction as accurate as any of the “experts”. They’re just picking numbers and then when they don’t happen; offer up some excuse. Here’s my forecast for 2008:
12 Named Storms.
7 Hurricanes.
3 of them major, all htting Florida first from the Atlantic side and over to the gulf side and then making a big right hand turn for the AL, MS, LA, TX coasts.
For a really long time people in power believed that the world was flat, and that the sun revolved around the earth, and heresy if you thought otherwise; this is you…calling today’s climateology theories a tree-hugger thing.
I know we’re all concerned about the number of hurricanes that will impact us in 2008. Some of us as property owners, others as insurance agents, others as underwriters. Because of the cost associated with “professional” meteoroligcal modelling many of us do not have access to our own forecasts for our specific needs. To solve this problem I’ve combined my many years of insurance knowledge as well as the ability to know when it’s going to rain with a game I played in high school, AD&D. I’m proud to say this method has the same success rate as the “professional” forecasters over the last 3 years.
1) Get 2 6-sided dice. (perferably one red, one white).
2) Roll both, the white die is your first number, the red your second (i.e. a 2 on the white, 5 on the red = 25) – this is the number of named storms for the current year.
3) Roll both again using the same white/red order. This is the percentage of those named storms that will become a hurricane.
4) Roll only the red die, this is the number of hurricanes that will hit mainland US.
5) Roll both dice again still using the white/red method. This is the percent of the storms hitting the US that will be Category 3 or higher.
Try it, it works as well as the high-paid consultants.
” Similarly, Robert Hartwig, president of the Insurance Information Institute, said the industry saw about a 20 percent increase in the number of flood policies sold in Gulf Coast states in the two years after Katrina. But about one in five new policies is not being renewed, he said.
“People believe they’ve rode out the worst of the storm, so to speak,” Hartwig said. “Nothing could be further from the truth.”
Inless in a flood plin, you can not force Homeowners to get flood insurance. It is also impossible t legislate against stupidity when the PH lets their policy lapse next year and floods the year thereafter.
is right on. I have seen it happen for years. After a period of relative calm, the lower elevation of elevated buildings gets finished out and within a year or so, it gets flooded, and we the adjusters get the irrate homeowner’s rath b/c the lower elevation below the flood plain is not covered for finished surfaces.
This is just a ploy by George Bush and Karl Rove to get people to relax so they can then crank up their Hurricane Machine next year and take out another city full of people they do not like. We all know if you read the Daily Kos that George Bush and Karl Rove and control the weather!
In the future, floods will destroy homes that are not properly insured to value and/or don’t have flood insurance. Careful citizens, along with p&c insurers, will be asked to pay for those who were too cheap or dumb to insure their
property. There will be a general outcry by those affected about how ‘heartless’ those nasty (fill in the blank republican or democrat) politicians are for not bailing out the stupid.
Does this mean that global warming isn’t the issue some people are making it out to be? Because many cited it as the reason for the increase in tropical storms & hurricanes in the 2004-2005 time period.
If that is the case, we must have already resolved the problem so all these tree hugger can just shut the ___ up.
Hurricane forecasters underestimated 2005 and overestimated 2006 and 2007. In baseball, three straight strikes and you’re out. What do you bet these crazy guys will come up with another hurricane forecast next year and their predictions will make the front page again. We would all be impressed if forecasters could predict where and when hurricanes will strike. But until then, anybody can come up with a number. By the way, the experts are probably 0 for 4 since I’m sure they didn’t predict that Florida would get hit by 4 hurricanes in 2004.
Please remember, Gorebal warming as a CONCEPT can be useful for many purposes.
Too hot? Gorebal warming. Too cold? Gorebal warming. Too many hurricanes? Gorebal warming. Acne breakout? Gorebal warming. If you suffer/enjoy any and/or all of these afflictions, call your local Nobel Peace Prize recipient. Not long after he arrives you will be systematically separated from your money.
It’s just like a prediction from an economist. Get 7 economists in a room and you’ll get 10 predictions – and none of them will wind up being correct. They still get paid for making the prediction.
Same thing with these weather predictors. They can be correct 30% of the time and still be at the top of the pack. Just because we haven’t had any hurricanes hit us the past two years doesn’t mean we should all be building on the coast, and it doesn’t mean that global warming isn’t something to take seriously.
What ended the last Ice Age?
Well let’s see, the ice age ended
8-10,000 years ago.
YEP, YOU GUESSED IT–BUSH AND CHENEY !
Actuaries are in the category of economists and hurricane forcasters
Any one of us could probably come with a prediction as accurate as any of the “experts”. They’re just picking numbers and then when they don’t happen; offer up some excuse. Here’s my forecast for 2008:
12 Named Storms.
7 Hurricanes.
3 of them major, all htting Florida first from the Atlantic side and over to the gulf side and then making a big right hand turn for the AL, MS, LA, TX coasts.
I don’t know. I wasn’t there. Any ideas?
For a really long time people in power believed that the world was flat, and that the sun revolved around the earth, and heresy if you thought otherwise; this is you…calling today’s climateology theories a tree-hugger thing.
I know we’re all concerned about the number of hurricanes that will impact us in 2008. Some of us as property owners, others as insurance agents, others as underwriters. Because of the cost associated with “professional” meteoroligcal modelling many of us do not have access to our own forecasts for our specific needs. To solve this problem I’ve combined my many years of insurance knowledge as well as the ability to know when it’s going to rain with a game I played in high school, AD&D. I’m proud to say this method has the same success rate as the “professional” forecasters over the last 3 years.
1) Get 2 6-sided dice. (perferably one red, one white).
2) Roll both, the white die is your first number, the red your second (i.e. a 2 on the white, 5 on the red = 25) – this is the number of named storms for the current year.
3) Roll both again using the same white/red order. This is the percentage of those named storms that will become a hurricane.
4) Roll only the red die, this is the number of hurricanes that will hit mainland US.
5) Roll both dice again still using the white/red method. This is the percent of the storms hitting the US that will be Category 3 or higher.
Try it, it works as well as the high-paid consultants.
Patent pending.
” Similarly, Robert Hartwig, president of the Insurance Information Institute, said the industry saw about a 20 percent increase in the number of flood policies sold in Gulf Coast states in the two years after Katrina. But about one in five new policies is not being renewed, he said.
“People believe they’ve rode out the worst of the storm, so to speak,” Hartwig said. “Nothing could be further from the truth.”
Inless in a flood plin, you can not force Homeowners to get flood insurance. It is also impossible t legislate against stupidity when the PH lets their policy lapse next year and floods the year thereafter.