Chance of El Nino Now Up to 70%, Says U.S. Climate Center

April 9, 2015

  • April 9, 2015 at 1:22 pm
    Mickey Dee says:
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    “El Nino, the warming of Pacific sea-surface temperatures, can trigger drought in some parts of the world and cause flooding in others.”
    This is a safe prediction. For hurricane season, I am predicting El Wetto, where some hurricanes may hit the ocean and some may hit land.

    • April 9, 2015 at 1:52 pm
      Dave says:
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      Excellent forecasting there. Excellent.

    • April 9, 2015 at 2:36 pm
      Agent says:
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      • April 14, 2015 at 1:45 pm
        Stan says:
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      • April 14, 2015 at 5:48 pm
        Don't Call Me Shirley says:
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        They’re about as effective as prayers in a stadium.

  • April 9, 2015 at 2:41 pm
    louie says:
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    “I am EL NINO!!! That’s Spanish for…….The Nino!”
    –Chris Farley

    • April 9, 2015 at 3:56 pm
      Agent says:
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      The Spanish pro golfer, Sergio Garcia is also called “El Nino” for his tempestuous nature.

      • April 10, 2015 at 10:14 am
        Destro says:
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        I’m pretty sure his nickname is El Pato…

      • April 10, 2015 at 10:49 am
        Mickey Dee says:
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        Isn’t Garcia’s nickname “El NoPutto” ?

        • April 10, 2015 at 2:57 pm
          Agent says:
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          Actually Mickey, if you check Garcia’s putting stats, he is among the best on the PGA Tour. His mind is what gets in his way. At least he has a very hot girlfriend that follows him around. She keeps him relaxed between his rounds.

          • April 10, 2015 at 4:06 pm
            Numbers don't lie says:
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            “if you check Garcia’s putting stats…” Okay. Here it goes.

            Total Putting – 202.3 – Ranked as #83
            Putting Average – 1.761 – Ranked as #77
            Overall Putting Average – 1.609 – Ranked as #96
            One Putt Percentage – 37.73% – Ranked as #135
            Putts Per Round – 28.96 – Ranked as #93

            Being in the top 100 is a great accomplishment, but how can you say he is “AMONG THE BEST ON THE PGA TOUR” when he isn’t even ranked in the Top 50 for putting statistics?!?

  • April 10, 2015 at 12:38 pm
    Yogi Polar Berra says:
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    El Nino or not, Washington DC is expected to experience a higher degree of hot air over the next twenty months. The same will be true in NY, TX, WI, FL, KY, MA, MD, and other states where Presidential candidates reside. But as long as they all stay off my iceberg home, I’m not worried.

    • April 10, 2015 at 3:00 pm
      Agent says:
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      • April 13, 2015 at 8:15 am
        Numbers don't lie says:
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        • April 13, 2015 at 10:14 am
          Agent says:
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          Are you trying to pick a fight Numbers? Obviously, you are not a golfer and don’t know what it takes to be a top player. Sergio is 34th on the money list and has made $1,144,131 in 2015 which is more than you will make in your entire lifetime. By the way, in a world of 6 billion inhabitants, there are only about 300 who achieve elite status to play the professional tours. I will take his 29 putts per round and his ranking of #15 in three putt avoidance. When he putted with a regular grip, he was ranked just under #200 in putting. When he went to the claw grip, he immediately improved and started winning again. You really shouldn’t post your nonsense on something you don’t know about. It makes you look like Ron.

          • April 13, 2015 at 10:54 am
            Ron says:
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          • April 13, 2015 at 11:12 am
            Agent says:
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          • April 13, 2015 at 11:48 am
            Ron says:
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      • April 13, 2015 at 3:05 pm
        Celtica says:
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        • April 14, 2015 at 10:16 am
          Destro says:
          Hot debate. What do you think?
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          Is being a woman the only thing she has going for her? Sure we can have a female president, but can we at least get a good/the right woman for president?

          • April 14, 2015 at 10:39 am
            Celtica says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 12:11 pm
            louie says:
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            as of now, I believe it is inevitable that the Hildebeest will win. Here’s what she has going for her:

            1). The media loves her. There is no denying it, call it bias, call it whatever, but the media is in love with her (except for Fox news).

            2). We’ve already had our first African-American president, and much of country (see point #1) wants its first female president. I really don’t see any others on the Dem’s side daring to run against Hillary. I could see her teaming up with Warren, and if that’s the case, God help us all.
            2a.) anyone disagreeing with Hillary will be branded as a sexist, misogynist, chauvinist pig.

            3). She is a master at playing the victim card. Whether it was as a result of the “Vast right-wing conspiracy” launched against her hubby during Lewinskygate, Whitewater, Benghazi, the email issues, you name it, she always manages to come out unscathed. I honestly think she could take a bath in dog sh*t and come out smelling like roses.

            4). She’s a grandma now! Look, she’s just like us (except most of us aren’t worth $100 million+ or get paid $250k for a speaking engagement)! Don’t call attention to her age, though, or you’re discriminating!

            Listen, I don’t support her. I think she’s a phony, but like Celtica says, she does talk the talk with the best of them. She happens to be a great politician.

            UNFORTUNATELY, I don’t see the Repubs putting up anyone who can beat her. Rubio? Ain’t happening…too young and not enough experience. Paul? Not a chance. The media hates his guts. Cruz? Keep dreaming. Forget Christie, that guy might have had a shot once but those days are long gone. Santorum doesn’t have a prayer of actually winning either. Perry would win Texas and that’s pretty much it, and Romney has gracefully decided not to run again. I figure we have a few months left and then the ads will start.

            sigh…

            TL/DR (too long, didn’t read)–Hillary sucks but so do the rest of them, we’re screwed either way.

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:59 pm
            KY jw says:
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            I agree with louie.

            The biggest problem the Republicans have is the primary. None of their candidates that survive the primary will fare well. They have to go so far to the right just to get the nomination, there just isn’t any way they can lure dems and independents to their side.

          • April 14, 2015 at 4:05 pm
            Agent says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 5:04 pm
            Celtica says:
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            Louie, Hildebeest – ? Really.
            How very misogynistic of you.

          • April 15, 2015 at 6:18 pm
            Destro says:
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            Definitely don’t call her “driven,” or “calculating.” either. Apparently that’s “sexist code language.”

            (Hahahaha feminism has officially jumped the shark.)

          • August 27, 2015 at 4:01 pm
            Agent says:
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            Hey Destro, a lot of water has gone under the bridge since we were posting in April. Hillary has really messed in her kit. New polls say that even Joe Biden would be a better candidate for Democrats. Willy is negotiating with Obama for the pardon.

        • April 14, 2015 at 11:00 am
          Agent says:
          Hot debate. What do you think?
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          Celtica, no one was more surprised that the Community Organizer won than the Clinton’s who practically went into cardiac arrest when they lost. The entitled couple made some serious mistakes thinking they had it in the bag. Hillary will make the same mistakes this time. She has enough baggage to fill a 747.

          • April 14, 2015 at 12:59 pm
            Always Amazed says:
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            Name one thing she has done as Secretary of State, beside the death of 4 Americans in Beghazi, that she can claim to her credit? I dare you. She has done nothing. Not one thing.

            You Liberals voted for the wrong candidate back in 2008. Hillary has spun way to many lies in the past 8 years – put our country at risk with her 2 cell phones because she couldn’t figure out that you can actually have more then one email address on one cell phone. Yes, this is the woman we want for president. NOT.

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:10 pm
            Celtica says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 1:17 pm
            Celtica says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 1:26 pm
            Always Amazed says:
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            Allen West has found a few of Hillary’s accomplishments. I’m sure you Liberals really hate this guy. Not only is he a conservative – he’s also African-American.

            http://allenbwest.com/2015/04/heres-my-list-of-hillarys-top-achievements/

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:27 pm
            Always Amazed says:
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            WIKIPEDIA? That’s your source? Seriously??

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:33 pm
            Always Amazed says:
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            I honestly don’t see how you could believe anything that comes out of her or Obama’s mouths.

            http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2014/06/09/hillary_clinton_we_came_out_of_the_white_house_dead_broke.html

            Dead broke my a$$.

          • April 14, 2015 at 5:07 pm
            Celtica says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 5:17 pm
            Agent says:
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            Actually Always, she did get one of her minion geeks to show her how to delete emails she didn’t want anyone to see. If it were anyone but Hillary, she would have been charged with a crime by now. Did you see her goofy remark that her server had not been hacked? How would she know that? The Chinese and Russians have seen every one of them and I am sure they had a good laugh as well.

          • April 15, 2015 at 11:12 am
            Agent says:
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            So Always, did you see Hillary trying to be one of the people on her luxury van tour? She goes into Chipotle’s incognito with sunglasses etc to order her lunch (which she has never done). No one recognized her and she made no effort to glad hand anyone and ask for their vote. Hmm, Slick Willie would have shaken every hand in the restaurant and got some feelies in on the babes as well. Yes, that Hillary is sure one of the folks allright.

          • April 16, 2015 at 11:05 am
            Always Amazed says:
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            Actually, Celtica, I really like Dr. Ben Carlson AND I might even be voting for him. You liberals so love to “try” to turn things around – the end justifies the means. Not this time, sweetie.

          • April 16, 2015 at 11:12 am
            Always Amazed says:
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            Yes, Agent, saw the clip of Hillary ordering her lunch, you know, like us common-folk do. I think we should start just calling her Hillarious. She’s so against the rich but worth millions. Her daughter owns a 10.5 million dollar condo in NY. You Liberals are so full of beans. And Hillarious and Bill have taken in millions of money from foreign countries – you know the ones in the middle east where women have not rights – but they’ll tell you that they are all for protecting women’s rights here at home. Can anyone say HYPOCITE?

  • April 13, 2015 at 12:53 pm
    Agent says:
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    Ron, I doubt seriously that you watch much golf, but I could be wrong since you can’t play much of the year in snow bound Buffalo and the only game in town is to watch. Had you been paying attention to anyone on the Golf Channel or any other broadcast network like NBC or CBS, you would have heard many say how well Sergio putts now and how much better he is with the claw grip. I never said he was a top 10 putter, but he is much better than the average. He also makes a lot more money than the average player on tour. That sailed right over your head, didn’t it? I am sure you will have another smart a– remark shortly. By the way, the average number of putts in a round if you two putted every hole is 36. I will take his 28 to 29 putts a round every time. That adds up to some very good scores on tour.

    • April 13, 2015 at 1:03 pm
      Ron says:
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    • April 13, 2015 at 1:12 pm
      Numbers don't lie says:
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      Agent – to avoid further confusion and disagreement, please tell us what ranking someone needs to be at for you to actually consider them “among the best” on the PGA tour.

      If they’re better than 50% of the other tour players, do you think that person ranks as one of the best on tour? Do they have to be better than 80% of the other players for you to consider them “one of the best on tour”?

      My point is simple.

      You said someone is “one of the best on tour” and you said the stat’s back that up. I gave you 5 statistics that don’t put that player even in the top 75 people on the tour.

      How can you say someone is “one of the best on tour” at something when there are at least 75 people — and as many as 134 people — better than him?

      He’s a great golfer. He’s a 100 times better than me at golf. He’ll make more money than I could ever dream of making. I’m just saying – if there are 100 people on tour who can putt better than him, I don’t see how you can say his putting skills are “one of the best on tour.”

      • April 13, 2015 at 3:10 pm
        Agent says:
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        Correction Numbers, Sergio is much more than 100 times better than you or Ron and about 50 times better than me and I am scratch. The difference between a PGA Tour player, even at the fringes of the top 125 is like night and day with the typical amateur or good amateur. Sergio is an elite player and has won all over the world. His putting percent is fractions of one stroke per round equal the the best putters on tour. I don’t know how to count 1/4 or 1/2 stroke, but I will take his average any day. Check out the stats at the end of this year and see if he hasn’t gained on a bunch of players. By the way, if a pro has a putting average of 30 per round or higher, they lose their card.

        • April 13, 2015 at 3:30 pm
          Numbers don't lie says:
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          Agent – to avoid further confusion and disagreement, please tell us what ranking someone needs to be at for you to actually consider them “among the best” on the PGA tour in any category.

          Garcia holds the 96th rank in “overall putting average.” This means 40% of the people on the PGA tour — nearly half of the players on the tour — have an overall putting average better than him.

          Are you still really arguing that Garcia is “among the best on the PGA Tour” when it comes to putting even though the stat’s you told us to look up show that 40% of the players on tour are better than him?

          Please tell us what ranking someone needs to be at for you to actually consider them “among the best” on the PGA tour in any category.

        • April 13, 2015 at 4:10 pm
          Ron says:
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          • April 13, 2015 at 4:43 pm
            Numbers don't like says:
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            Did he really admit he was wrong, though?

          • April 13, 2015 at 5:44 pm
            Agent says:
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            Ron, dig out your Algorithms and tell me how .25 of a stroke per round translates into 4 strokes per tournament. Is that closer to one stroke per tournament or am I wrong? When Sergio doesn’t win, it is his mind and temperament that gets in the way. He certainly has a good enough stroke to win when his mind is right. I would bet there weren’t many pleasantries exchanged between him and Tiger when they played. They have serious issues between them, especially when Sergio made racist remarks a few years ago.

          • April 14, 2015 at 8:14 am
            Ron says:
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          • April 14, 2015 at 8:18 am
            Ron says:
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  • April 14, 2015 at 10:37 am
    Agent says:
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    Ron, as long as you are looking at stats on Garcia, put the following stats in your Algorithm pipe and smoke them.
    1. Scoring Average – Rank – 12
    2. Strokes gained tee to green – Rank 15
    3. Birdie Average – Rank 70
    4. Fed Ex Cup Points – Rank 37
    5. Official World Rank – 9
    6. Money Leader – Rank 33
    7. Putting from 4′ Rank 1
    8. Putting from 15-20′ Rank 5
    9. Putting from 25′ – Rank 14
    10. Approach putt Performance – Rank 8
    11. Par 4 average Rank 14
    12. Par 4 Birdie Average Rank 23

    Gee, there must be a good reason why his name is on his bag and he is ranked the 9th best in the world and his putting is just fine despite what your numbers say.

    • April 14, 2015 at 10:58 am
      Ron says:
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      Agent,

      Where did you get those statistics?

      Fromm the PGA Tour website:

      Sergio Garcia’s ranks:
      Putting from 4′ (within 5 feet) Rank 146, not 1
      Putting from 15-20′ Rank 133, not 5
      Putting from 20-25′ Rank 144, not 14
      Strokes gained putting Rank 83
      Approach putt Performance Rank 8, Yeah, you got one right

      I added strokes gained putting due to its importance in scoring.

      This is the problem we have. The discussion is ONLY about whether or not Sergio Garcia is among the best putters on the PGA Tour, PERIOD.

      Simple yes or no question. Based on statistics ONLY, do you classify Sergio Garcia as one of the best PUTTERS, not players, on the PGA Tour?

      • April 14, 2015 at 11:05 am
        Agent says:
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        Ron, believe it or not, there is such a thing as Google. You may want to try it sometime. All my statistics are specific to him. It is a very complete summary of all his stats.

        By the way, the stats don’t lie and he is one of the best putters on tour despite your disbelief. You are wrong yet again.

        • April 14, 2015 at 11:27 am
          Ron says:
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          Agent,

          I went directly to the PGA Tour site. What better source is there?

          I was looking at the summary you referenced. It looks like there is a discrepancy. How can a player average 100% from within 4 feet, but 99.76% from within 3 feet? the within 4 feet stat would need to include putts within 3 feet. Looks like your stats are questionable.

          Let’s look at the categories where both of our sources have the same raninkins:
          Strokes Gained Putting 83rd
          Total Putting 90th
          Average Putts Per Round 91st

          Please tell me again how is among the best putters on the PGAS Tour.

          • April 14, 2015 at 12:48 pm
            Agent says:
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            Ron, your stats hold no water. You are splitting hairs for no reason whatsoever. By the way, a player ranked 9th in the entire world of professional golf cannot possibly be an average or poor putter no matter how much you drone on about it. If he were average or poor on the PGA or European Tour, he would be missing cuts instead of winning and placing high. Go back to your predictive modeling algorithms again. You know so little about golf and professional players.

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:07 pm
            Ron says:
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            Agent,

            Who said Sergio was a poor or even average putter as a golfer? NOBODY. All we are saying is that he is NOT among the BEST on the PGA Tour, period. The staistics have proven this.

            You started by asking Numbers don’t lie if he was trying to pick a fight. You have been proven completely wrong in your assessment that Sergio is among the best putters on the PGA Tour, yet are grasping for straws trying to save face.

            You would be miles ahead in life if you would just admit when you are wrong, especially when proven wrong, and just move on.

            Where are all of your friends to back you up? Even they are probably just laughing at you.

          • April 14, 2015 at 2:08 pm
            Numbers don't lie says:
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            You’re the pot calling the kettle black by telling Ron his stats do not hold water. His were taken from the Official PGA rankings. Your stats were not. You lose this argument. Move on.

    • April 14, 2015 at 11:52 am
      Numbers DO lie says:
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      I had to change my name because of this post. I guess Numbers DO lie when Agent posts them.

      We’re talking about “Garcia’s putting stats” and if he “is among the best on the PGA Tour”, but you intentionally didn’t use the official rankings kept by the PGA Tour. Why!?!?! That’s more shady than the fact 67% of your stats have nothing to do with putting.

      In 2015, the PGA Tour ranks Garcia as the 80th best putter in the “total putting” statistic. In 2014 he was 80th — 2013 he was 23rd — 2012 he was 88th — 2011 he was 87th — 2010 he was 130th.

      You said “if you check Garcia’s putting stats, he is among the best on the PGA Tour.” Can you admit that in the last 4 out of 5 years, Garcia was not one of the best putters on tour? If you can, this can end.

  • April 14, 2015 at 12:48 pm
    Mickey Dee says:
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    Boy, these El Nino comments are great!

    • April 14, 2015 at 12:50 pm
      Agent says:
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      • April 14, 2015 at 12:59 pm
        Ron says:
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        Agent,

        You may know more about golf than me, but I am far more proficient in reading comprehension, economics, politics, math and statistics. I’ll let you decide what is more important.

        • April 14, 2015 at 1:08 pm
          Agent says:
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          Ron, if you were more knowledgable about any of the subjects you mentioned, you wouldn’t have to ask questions all the time on them or find some leftist commentor or website to try to support your diatribe. Does the name Paul Krugman ring a bell? A leftist Economics professor who then got a job at the leftist NYT and you believed him like gospel.

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:49 pm
            Stan says:
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            Thats right, Agent! You tell him! Forget Krugman! I mean sure, he won the most prestigious intellectual award possible for an economist, but shit man, what does he REALLY know? Probably nothing since he’s from NYC.

            Better to trust your gut and pop a few pills then forget what federal agency to close like Ricky P does. No sense using all those fancy thoughts! Hell no, down here in Texas we’ve got guts!

            lol dumbass

          • April 14, 2015 at 1:53 pm
            Ron says:
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            Agent,

            Intelligent people gain knowledge form asking questions. More intelligent people answer the questions of others. The most intelligent people provide support and cite their sources.

            Whe I ask you questions is it to:

            1. Obtain some clarification(s) from you,
            2. Challenge you and/or your information,
            3. Get you to expand or prove some of your rhetoric,
            4. Get you to prove your hypocrisy, and/or
            5. Make you look like a fool.

            For the record, I am not a fan of Dr. Krugman overall. I only cite one article he wrote that was supported by the Libertarian Ludwig von Mises Institute. I much prefer the teachings of Milton Friedman. Ever hear of him?

  • April 14, 2015 at 3:07 pm
    Agent says:
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    Ron, if you preferred Friedman who I think was the best of the modern economists, why did you trot out the article on Paul Krugman, an admitted Keynsian big time spender that leftist politicians have endorsed? By the way, Keynsian spenders have this country in big trouble with a current debt of $18 Trillion+. It is sure to hit $20 Trillion before your hero Obama leaves office.

    • April 14, 2015 at 3:16 pm
      Ron says:
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      Agent,

      It was a single article that used data and statistics to show that Keynesian principles were in fact implenmented during President Reagan’s administration to pull the economy out of the mess he inherited from President Carter. That is all.

      You make it seem like I cite Krugman or Keynes every time we discuss economics. That is blatantly false and disingenuous by you.

      Blaming President Obama for our current debt is like blaming your hero, President GW Bush, for the financial collapse and 9/11.

      • April 14, 2015 at 3:26 pm
        Agent says:
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        Ron, GW was a choir boy compared to the guy you latched onto. He has spent more in his almost 7 years than all the Presidents in the history of the country. What do we have to show for it but unfathomable debt, more people on food stamps, lowest labor participation rate in 30 years, 1.5-2% growth rate in the time he has been in office. Had pro business policies been put into effect like Romney would have done, we would have recovered the economy in 3-4 years. Your Progressive U education was wasted on failed theories. Friedman shot Keynes down big time.

        • April 14, 2015 at 3:47 pm
          Numbers don't lie says:
          Hot debate. What do you think?
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          Where did you get your numbers this time?

        • April 14, 2015 at 4:09 pm
          Stan says:
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          He’s making them up, like he does with all his “facts.”

          The fact of the matter is that Agent has no interest in serious debate, if he did he would be the first to condemn that Texas Two-Step Bush Jr. who destroyed a deficit with two unfunded wars and Medicare Part D.

          But he doesnt acknowledge any of that because hes a troll, a tool, a fool, and above all, a hypocrite.

          Go take a long walk on a short pier, Agent. Do us all a favor.

          • April 14, 2015 at 5:08 pm
            Agent says:
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            Join the Army and “be all that you can be”, Stan. They will pay off your college loans you have moaned about for 3 years now. You might actually have to grow up and be a man though and that would be hard on you.

          • April 14, 2015 at 5:15 pm
            Stan says:
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            So your solution is to make the government solve my problems? Wont that upset you, Agent? Knowing that your tax dollars are subsidizing my education?

            When will you Texans realize that more government is not the solution? Oh right, you only mean YOUR government, because youre a hypocrite.

          • April 15, 2015 at 10:18 am
            Agent says:
            Poorly-rated. Like or Dislike:
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            Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

          • April 15, 2015 at 11:47 am
            Stan says:
            Well-loved. Like or Dislike:
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            Like a Texan dodging the draft, you artfully dodged my question, Agent. Are you suggesting that I take a government bailout to solve my debt problem? How very progressive of you.

            And I dont know what you’re talking about regarding my grammar and / or punctiations. Itz perfekt. MayB youz the onez whoz smokin da weedz, Agent?

  • August 27, 2015 at 2:51 pm
    Debbie says:
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    This conversation went from El Nino to golf and the presidential election….. WOW…. its ADD at its finest here! :-)



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