How Safe Must Driverless Vehicles Be to Be Accepted? Very Safe.

May 31, 2018

  • May 31, 2018 at 11:23 am
    Rosenblatt says:
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    “According to the results, the public will not accept this new technology unless it is shown to be safer, approximately four to five times as safe as human-driven vehicles.”

    Seems reasonable to me. Here’s hoping we can reach that within the next 10 years!!

    • May 31, 2018 at 3:06 pm
      Agent says:
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      Let’s give it 20, not 10 years.

      • May 31, 2018 at 3:12 pm
        Perplexed says:
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        Yes, Agent, I want to be buried before driverless cars are the norm.

    • May 31, 2018 at 5:59 pm
      Weird says:
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      This seems like a completely irrational standard. Even if automated vehicles are demonstrated to be only 50% safer than their human-driven counterparts, what logical argument can be formed to convince me to not support that? Any strong reduction in the loss of human lives from auto-accidents should immediately be implemented, irrespective of the impact it will have on Insurance Carriers and Brokers.

      • May 31, 2018 at 8:05 pm
        PolarBeaRepeal says:
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        My discussion in my earlier post is an example of why the 4 or 5 fold factor is acceptable to a large portion of the public. IF the best drivers’ accident frequencies were 2 per 100 drivers, and the autonomous vehicle accident frequency were 8 per 100 drivers, a 20% improvement over the 10 per 100 drivers AVG frequency, the BEST drivers would be subjected to an increase in accident frequency over driving themselves; i.e. 2 per 100 would go up to 8 per 100.

        • June 1, 2018 at 11:29 am
          Weird says:
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          Well the “best drivers” should realize that their risk of being in an accident will decrease as well if the overall accident rate decreases. One would assume most accidents are caused by the bad drivers, and they are now getting in less accidents.

    • May 31, 2018 at 8:00 pm
      PolarBeaRepeal says:
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      It seems to me that the four- or five-fold factor is subjective. I assume there is a wide variety of accident frequencies among drivers, and the average driver accident frequency is contemplated in the 4 or 5 times improvement factor. Seeing that accident frequencies are relatively low, the best drivers may be the target accident frequency for acceptance by the public. Example: avg frequency = 10 accidents per 100 drivers, lowest accident frequency risk = 2 accidents per 100 such good drivers, and acceptable improvement in accident frequency for the public to accept autonomous cars is 10 / 4 or 5 = 2.5 or 2 accidents per 100 drivers of all classes of accident frequency…. which approximates the current lowest frequency risk class.

  • June 7, 2018 at 4:59 am
    Ian Mendoza says:
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    I think it’s normal for this new technology to be denied by citizens. I think every new technology experienced this phase. I think if the car companies think seriously about this and fix every aspects that need to be done, 10 – 15 years from now people will fully accept this as their primary car. Who knows? I have also read an article that talks about this matter at https://www.lemberglaw.com/self-driving-autonomous-car-accident-injury-lawyers-attorneys/.



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