This article states that “NOAA predicts hurricane activity will be 70 percent above normal.” In fact, per the NOAA Seasonal forecast (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2438.htm) NOAA predicted that there will be a 70% chance that activity will be above normal, not 70% above normal.
The article also states “Dr. William Gray.. predicted to attendees at the recent Governor’s Hurricane Preparedness Conference in Tampa a 73 percent likelihood for a hurricane to hit the Florida’s Gulf coast. and Florida’s eastern coast has a higher probability of hurricane landfalls with an 82 percent probability. In the report, he said there’s a greater chance for more dangerous hurricanes to occur on the east coast rather than in the Gulf.”
In fact, the 73% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire Gulf coast, and the 82% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline.
This article states that “NOAA predicts hurricane activity will be 70 percent above normal.” In fact, per the NOAA Seasonal forecast (http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2438.htm) NOAA predicted that there will be a 70% chance that activity will be above normal, not 70% above normal.
The article also states “Dr. William Gray.. predicted to attendees at the recent Governor’s Hurricane Preparedness Conference in Tampa a 73 percent likelihood for a hurricane to hit the Florida’s Gulf coast. and Florida’s eastern coast has a higher probability of hurricane landfalls with an 82 percent probability. In the report, he said there’s a greater chance for more dangerous hurricanes to occur on the east coast rather than in the Gulf.”
In fact, the 73% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire Gulf coast, and the 82% is likelihood for a hurricane to hit somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline.