Articles by John Kemp

Lessons on Trade-Offs From the 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Viewpoint

LONDON — Lockdowns have brought most of the world’s advanced economies to a near standstill as policymakers fight the coronavirus pandemic by banning all but essential movement outside the home. Tens of millions of employees across retail, entertainment, food services, …

Driverless Vehicles Provide Test of Attitudes Toward Risk: Kemp

Uber has suspended road tests of self-driving vehicles after the first pedestrian was killed by one of its vehicles operating under autonomous computer control. Proponents of self-driving vehicles claim they would be safer, as well as more energy efficient, but …

Full-Fledged El Nino Increasingly Likely in Second Half 2017

El Nino conditions are developing across the Pacific with an increasing probability that a full-fledged El Nino episode will occur during the second half of 2017. Pacific equatorial winds have slackened since the start of the year and a characteristic …

Toward Sensible Risk Management of Earthquake Risk in Energy Production

Underground disposal of waste water produced from oil and natural gas wells has been blamed for triggering thousands of small earthquakes in Oklahoma and a number of other U.S. states since 2009. Heightened seismic activity corresponds closely with the timeframe …

Time to Be Afraid – Preparing For Next Big Solar Storm

The probability of a solar storm striking Earth in the next decade with enough force to do serious damage to electricity networks could be as high as 12 percent, according to solar scientists. One such storm erupted from the surface …

COMMENT: Time to be Afraid – Preparing for the Next Big Solar Storm: Kemp

The probability of a solar storm striking Earth in the next decade with enough force to do serious damage to electricity networks could be as high as 12 percent, according to solar scientists. One such storm erupted from the surface …

Oil Train Catastrophe Risk Weighs on Insurers: Kemp

In the event of a mass-casualty accident involving the derailment of a crude-carrying train in a densely populated urban area, who would be responsible for the compensation for deaths, injuries, damage to property and environmental clean up? The short answer …

Car Use No Longer Growing in Developed World, But Why?

Car use appears to have leveled off and even started falling in many of the world’s advanced economies long before the global downturn in 2008, according to transport experts. The slowdown brings to an end several decades in which car …

Lessons from U.S. Blackout of 10 Years Ago: Kemp

Exactly 10 years ago, at 15:05 Eastern Time on August 14, 2003, an overhead power line came into contact with an overgrown tree near Cleveland, Ohio. What happened next is a frightening case study of how vulnerable modern economies are …

Commentary: Breathing New Life into Climate Policy

Shale has killed climate policy. Now the International Energy Agency (IEA) is trying to bring it back to life. Following the shale revolution, policymakers can no longer count on peaking oil and gas supplies and soaring fuel prices to save …