Q3 Commercial P/C Premiums Continue Fall

October 20, 2004

Commercial property/casualty insurance premiums continued to decline significantly during the third quarter of this year, with two-thirds of all large and medium accounts experiencing drops of up to 20 percent and an additional 11 percent of large accounts seeing premiums down between 20-30 percent.

According to the third quarter Commercial Market Index Survey released this week by The Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB), small accounts also saw premiums decrease in the last quarter but not to the extent of medium and large accounts. The survey showed premiums for 25 percent of small accounts remained unchanged, while 34 percent dropped 1-10 percent, and 11 percent declined 10-20 percent from the previous quarter.

The survey, which traced premium trends from July through September, showed that the average premium for commercial accounts declined 5.9 percent in the third quarter. Large accounts dropped by an average of 8.3 percent in the third quarter; the average medium account premium was down 6.4 percent; and the average small account was paying premiums 3.1 percent less than during the previous quarter.

“Price competition has definitely returned to the marketplace, although more so for new business than renewal business,” said Ken Crerar, president of The Council. “But terms and conditions are still tight. Underwriters appear to be more willing to negotiate on price than on coverage.”

The Council represents the top tier of commercial insurance brokers in the country who annually write 80 percent of the commercial property/casualty premiums and administer billions of dollars of employee benefits accounts.

Brokers responding to the survey said the premium prices are stabilizing or dropping for most commercial lines, with property premiums leading the way. The survey said 39 percent of the commercial property accounts saw premiums drop by 1-10 percent, while an additional 34 percent of accounts were down 10-20 percent. General liability, umbrella, business interruption insurance and directors and officers premiums were also among the lines that also showed larger drops in premium rates.

But some isolated trouble spots remain in the market, the survey showed, chief among them construction risks, workers’ compensation and medical malpractice.

Asked what their top market concern was, the brokers overwhelmingly listed the return of price competition and its potential implications on insurer solvency. Tort reform was a distant second followed by an act of terrorism in the United States and natural catastrophes.

The brokers also were asked about the impact of the four hurricanes that have struck Florida so far this season.

“Relative to Florida and our recent storm events, carriers are now considering large windstorm deductibles on larger property accounts in the middle of the state,” one broker reported.

Before the storms, another agreed, the large wind and hail deductibles were assessed only on locations within 10 miles of the coast, but many inland properties now are finding their deductibles increasing.

Although the storms have yet to significantly impact rates, the commercial brokers said they expect the property market in catastrophe-exposed areas to stabilize, and the ultimate impact may be to slow the rate of property premium decreases in Florida.

The analysis of Council survey data to get the average rate increases and the charts based on The Council survey data were prepared by Lehman Brothers.

Topics Florida Agencies Commercial Lines Pricing Trends Property Property Casualty

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