A U.S. weather forecaster scaled down its estimate for the chances of the El Nino weather phenomenon occurring during autumn and early winter in the Northern Hemisphere to 65 percent, from an earlier estimate of 80 percent.
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC), an agency of the National Weather Service, had made its earlier prediction in July.
“The consensus of forecasters expects El Nino to emerge during August-October and to peak at weak strength during the late fall and early winter,” the agency said in a monthly update on Thursday.
Last month, the CPC forecast a 70 percent chance for El Nino to occur in the summer.
“Over the last month, model forecasts have slightly delayed the El Nino onset,” it said.
The agency downplayed the possibility of a strong El Nino, saying there was a higher chance of a weak to moderate event.
(Reporting by Marcy Nicholson; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe and Bernadette Baum)
Topics USA
Was this article valuable?
Here are more articles you may enjoy.
Florida Regulators Crack the Whip on Auto Warranty Firm, Fake Certificates of Insurance 
Viewpoint: Runoff Specialists Have Evolved Into Key Strategic Partners for Insurers 
Lemonade Books Q4 Net Loss of $21.7M as Customer Count Grows 
Munich Re Unit to Cut 1,000 Positions as AI Takes Over Jobs 
