catastrophe modeling News

California Commissioner, Cal Poly Humboldt Working on Public Wildfire Model

California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara and Cal Poly Humboldt plan to form a strategy group to undertake what Lara says will be the nation’s first public wildfire catastrophe model. The plan is for the group to draw from California’s research …

As Storm Bebinca Approaches, Taiwan Uses AI to Predict Typhoon Paths

As tropical storm Bebinca barrels towards waters off northern Taiwan gathering strength into a possible typhoon, weather forecasters in Taipei are using a new and so far successful method to help track its path – artificial intelligence (AI). AI-generated forecasts, …

Moody’s Acquires Praedicat to Add Casualty and Liability Models

Moody’s Corp. today said it acquired analytics firm Praedicat. The acquisition adds casualty and liability modeling to Moody’s range of market leading solutions for the insurance industry. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Praedicat’s models and predictive analytics help …

California Commissioner Invites Input on Final Phase of Wildfire Modeling Regulation

California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara has invited public input as he begins the final phase of approving a “first of its kind” catastrophe modeling and ratemaking regulation that “will help restore options for all Californians and prepare for the reality …

Clashing Risk Predictions Cast Doubt on Black Box Climate Models

Many companies offer detailed climate projections tailored to property-level precision. These tools can allow owners and investors to better anticipate risks of flooding, wind, wildfire and other disasters. Insurers have been among the adopters of climate-risk models, in a sign …

Catastrophe Bondholders Sidestep Large Losses From Weather-Related Calamities

Last month, amid reports that Hurricane Beryl would become the earliest Category 5 hurricane in history, a group of money managers were busy trying to figure out whether their highly calibrated bets centered on natural catastrophes were about to take …

Damage From Hurricane Beryl May Cost Insurers $2.7B in US, $510M in Caribbean: KCC

Insurers in the United States may take a hit of about $2.7 billion from damage caused by Hurricane Beryl, catastrophe modeling company Karen Clark & Co (KCC) said on Thursday. About 1.5 million customers remained without power in Texas on …

California Insurance Commissioner: Allow Cat Modeling in Rates for Wildfires

California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara said he will allow catastrophe modeling to be used in rate regulation for wildfires, a move he says will help restore insurance options for Californians. It was the latest phase of Lara’s Sustainable Insurance Strategy. …

Hedge Fund That Rode Catastrophe Bond Rally Mounts Tactical Retreat

A hedge fund that last year delivered its best result ever thanks to catastrophe bonds is now scaling back its position, based on a bet that the market is headed for a rough patch. Tenax Capital, which has a €100 …

Risk Models Behind Insurance-Linked Securities Are Getting a Lot Harder to Crack

As the best hedge fund strategy of 2023 becomes a magnet for mainstream investors, the risk models it relies on are getting a lot tougher to crack. The strategy in question is tied to insurance-linked securities, which are dominated by …