Prediction Market Bets on Wildfires Draw Scrutiny From Senators August 5, 2026 By Lydia Beyoud and Zahra Hirji A group of Democratic senators urged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to rein in prediction market trading on wildfires, expressing...
US Derivatives Regulator Maps Out Rules for Soaring Prediction Market Industry June 11, 2026 By Douglas Gillison The top U.S. derivatives regulator on Wednesday released new draft regulations governing the burgeoning prediction markets industry, seeking to cement...
Google Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket May 29, 2026 By Chris Dolmetsch A Google software engineer was charged with insider trading on Polymarket, where he allegedly made more than $1 million betting...
France Probes Weather Data Tampering After Surge in Polymarket Bets April 23, 2026 By Joe Wertz France’s forecasting office flagged suspected tampering with weather sensors at the country’s largest airport and referred the case to police,...
Weather Prediction Markets Are Booming, but Can They Improve Forecasts? April 15, 2026 By Mary Hui, Eric Roston and Joe Wertz A few days before Christmas, Howard Qin was scrutinizing weather forecasts on two laptops at home in Shanghai when he...
Predicting the Insurability of Prediction Markets March 23, 2026 By Russ Banham Could a market that facilitates millions in wagers on how many times Vice President JD Vance claps during a State...