NHC Tracking Hurricane Patricia, as It Nears Mexican Coast

October 22, 2015

The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking Hurricane Patricia, a storm in the eastern Pacific that is moving towards the west coast of Mexico.

According to the NHC’s latest bulletin, Patricia is about 255 miles – 410 kms south of Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico and about 350 miles – 565 kms south-southeast of Manzanillo. Maximum sustained winds are around 85 mph – 140 km/h.

The NHC said, however, that “continued strengthening is forecast, and Patricia is likely to become a major hurricane later today or tonight. Thereafter, additional strengthening is forecast until landfall.”

Patricia is presently moving west-northwest at 17 mph – 28 km/h. Minimum central barometric pressure is 980 mb – 28.94 inches. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles – 35 kms from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles – 185 kms.

The NHC said that hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by Friday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning areas by late tonight or early Friday, and are possible within the tropical storm watch area by tonight or early Friday.

Patricia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches, over the Mexican states of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacan and Guerrero later Thursday into Saturday, which could “produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.”

Source: National Hurricane Center

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