Emerging trends support a positive profit outlook for homeowners insurers, a leading broker believes..
Reinsurance broker Aon Benfield’s 2014 Homeowners ROE Outlook concludes that insurers’ prospective after-tax return-on-equity (ROE) for homeowners insurance is 7.9 percent on a countrywide average, up from 4.6 percent in 2013, and 11.8 percent excluding Florida, up from 8 percent last year.
The improvement is driven by continued positive activity in primary rates, a decline in the estimated catastrophe loss ratio resulting from updates to the vendor catastrophe models used in the study and a reduction in the cost of reinsurance capital available to primary insurers, according to a company statement.
The report reviews industry aggregate state-level statutory financial filing information along with rate filings and supporting actuarial information for the 20 top homeowners insurance groups by state.
Over the past 18 months, insurers maintained positive rate momentum as they received rate increase approvals averaging above 7 percent compared to the 7.7 percent for the prior period.
Industry premium change from 2010 to 2013 showed strong growth for the homeowners line, according to the report. Midwest and Tornado Alley states achieved the largest premium increases, with many exceeding 20 percent, while only Hawaii experienced an overall premium decrease over the three-year interval.
“Given the current market dynamics, we view the overall outlook for the U.S. homeowners line of business to be encouraging,” Parr Schoolman, Aon Benfield’s global risk and capital strategy team leader, said in a statement.
“Positive rate momentum was maintained in the period under review, and when viewed alongside positive factors such as a general reduction in the cost of reinsurance for primary insurers, the expected ROE for insurers in this line of business continues to improve. While rate activity is still required in some states, the number of states at or near rate adequacy is expanding.”
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