El Niño News

Spring Forecast: 65% Chance of No El Niño or La Niña

There is about a 65% chance that neutral weather conditions will prevail in the Northern Hemisphere this spring with no El Niño or La Niña, up from 60% last month, a U.S. government weather forecaster said March 12. The El …

Study Finds El Niños Getting Stronger

Climate change is making stronger El Niños, which change weather worldwide and heat up an already warming planet, a new study finds. Scientists examined 33 El Niños—natural warming of equatorial Pacific that triggers weather extremes across the globe—since 1901. They …

Australia Floods Cost Insurers US$635M in February: Aon’s Catastrophe Recap

Australia’s Northern Queensland experienced widespread flooding from Jan. 26 to Feb. 7, which cost insurers more than A$893 million (US$635 million) with total economic losses of at least A$1.7 billion (US$1.2 billion). according to Impact Forecasting, Aon’s catastrophe model development …

There’s 65% Chance That Weak El Niño Will Emerge in Spring, Says U.S. Weather Service

There is a 65 percent chance of an El Niño weather pattern emerging during the northern hemisphere spring this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. “However, given the timing and that a weak event is favored, significant …

JBA Risk Management Launches India Crop Model for Re/Insurers as El Niño Looms

JBA Risk Management (JBA), the UK-based modeling firm, has launched an India crop catastrophe model for the re/insurance market. More commonly known for flood maps and models, JBA collaborated with Chaucer through its office in Singapore to develop this probabilistic …

California Heads into its Peak Fire Season with State-Sized Burn Scar

California is poised to set an annual record it never wanted to break: the amount of earth scorched by wildfires. Blazes have already ripped through enough acres to blacken the entire state of Delaware, and what’s typically California’s worst month …

July’s Droughts, Wildfires, Floods Caused Billions in Global Economic Losses: Aon

Many countries across the globe saw worsening in drought-related and wildfire conditions during July, which have led to hundreds of deaths and created a significant financial impact – particularly in the agriculture, forestry, water management and fisheries industries. This was …

NOAA Expects Sea Level Rise to Produce Record Coastal Flooding This Year

Break out the galoshes. The projected increase in high tide flooding in 2018 may be as much as 60 percent higher across U.S. coastlines compared to typical flooding about 20 years ago, according to scientists at the National Oceanic and …

La Niña Has 55% Chance of Waning During March-May, Says National Weather Service

The current La Niña phase of the climate cycle will most likely transition during the March-May season to ENSO-neutral conditions, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday, a development that brings equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures, rainfall patterns and winds …

Scientists Blame Extreme Weather, Heat on Man-Made Climate Change

Some of last year’s crazy weather — including extreme heat around the world to unusually warm waters in the Bering Sea — can be blamed on man-made climate change, according to a report from a group of weather researchers. Scientists …