Aon’s 2009 Marine Insurance Outlook

June 4, 2009

According to Aon’s 2009 Marine Insurance Outlook, “ship owners are facing challenging negotiations at 2009/10 renewals as marine insurers seek rates increases on all classes of business.” However Aon’s survey also concluded that “abundant capacity means competitive forces will create a balancing act in the market.”

There was an average rise in protection and indemnity (P&I) rates of up to 15 percent at the February renewals. Aon said this reflects the “increased sense of determination on the part of other marine underwriters to move rates back up.”

The insurers, however, are faced with “the prospect of falling revenues due to reduced marine activity and thus lower premium volumes, coupled with decreasing investment income. As such, hull and liability underwriters are seeking to impose rate increases in the range of 2.5 percent to 7.5 percent for attractive business.”

There is “abundant capacity” in most classes of insurance, which is “keeping a lid on rate rises,” Aon notes. As a result “there are no obvious signs that capacity for marine insurance risks will decline significantly in the short term. The squeeze will come as ship owners seek to reduce operating costs in the face of a dramatic reduction in trade.”

Steve Beslity, Global CEO of Aon Marine, pointed out that so far at least, the recession appears to have had “much less impact on the marine insurance market than the shipping industry itself.” While the market is generally looking for rate increases, insurers continue to offer attractive terms for well managed risks. “Although the markets may attempt to talk up pricing simply because it seems logical to do so in the present difficult economic circumstances, the evidence suggests there is no reason to overreact at this point.

“The relationship between the marine insurance markets and their customers is finely balanced at present. There is a likelihood of a clash between the understandable desire of the shipping industry to reduce costs versus insurers’ requirements to generate acceptable margins. There will be challenging negotiations ahead across the spectrum of marine insurance during 2009 and into 2010.”

To access the full report go to: http://img.en25.com/Web/AON/Aon_Marine_Insurance_Market_Outlook_2009.pdf

Source: Aon – www.aon.com

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