Elderly Healthcare in APAC to Cost $20 Trillion-Plus over Next 15 Years: Marsh

August 31, 2016

Elderly healthcare in the Asia Pacific region will cost more than US$20 trillion between 2015 and 2030, according to a report published by Marsh & McLennan Cos.

The report titled “Advancing into the Golden Years – Cost of Healthcare for Asia Pacific’s Elderly,” was compiled by Marsh’s Asia Pacific Risk Center (APRC) in Singapore. APRC, which was launched last week, aims to analyze key risks facing industries and governments in Asia, ultimately helping the region’s decision makers address these risks.

This first report from APRC focuses on the urgency and significance of current and projected costs of elderly healthcare in Singapore and across the region, Marsh said in a statement. Other upcoming APRC reports will focus on infrastructure financing and energy related issues, analyzing key risks facing industries, governments, and societies in Asia Pacific.

The report forecasts a steep rise in elderly healthcare costs and calls for urgent action from governments, insurers, healthcare providers, corporates and citizens.

Commenting on the findings of the center’s first report, Wolfram Hedrich, executive director, APRC said: “The Asia Pacific region is aging at a faster rate than any other region in the world. Key stakeholders, including governments, insurers and individuals, are not fully prepared from a financing, infrastructure, and workforce perspective for the escalating costs of caring for more than 200 million additional elderly citizens in the region.”

Pressing Need for Action

Although Asia Pacific is a diverse region, by 2030 it is anticipated that there will be a 71 percent increase in the number of elderly people aged 65 and above, compared to a 55 percent increase in North America and a 31 percent increase in Europe during the same timeframe, the report indicated.

Annual elderly healthcare expenditure is expected to reach US$2.5 trillion by 2030 in Asia Pacific, five times more than what it cost in 2015. Cumulatively, between 2015 and 2030, elderly healthcare is forecast to cost US$20 trillion, representing half of all healthcare expenditure in the region during that period, the report went on to say.

The region will also face a shortage of an estimated 18.2 million professional long-term caregivers by 2030. Significant investment in both infrastructure and human capital will be required to meet the demand.

“The report conveys a pressing need for action, and highlights global best practices and innovative approaches to elderly healthcare — such as the need for radical changes to public policy and healthcare business models — to which key stakeholders in Asia Pacific should pay particular attention,” said Marsh.

Source: Marsh & McLennan Cos.


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