Forecaster Gray Sees Active Hurricane Season Ahead

April 3, 2013

Forecaster William Gray said he expects a very active hurricane season, but he’s not yet giving likely numbers of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes.

Gray told hundreds of people at the National Hurricane Conference that the first numeric predictions will come out April 10.

Gray, head of Colorado State’s Tropical Meteorology Project, said that only development of an El Nino could slow down the season, and that’s looking less and less likely.

He also said the U.S. has been very lucky – the 16 years since 1995 have been an active period for hurricanes but most years were free of direct hits by storms with winds of 111 mph or more.

He said, “This just defies statistics.”

Latest Comments

  • April 5, 2013 at 9:09 am
    Kyle says:
    And every year, they're right. 2012, 2011, 2010 both were tied for the 3rd most active hurricane season ever recorded. 2009 was predicted to be below average, and it was. 2008... read more
  • April 4, 2013 at 3:37 pm
    Jeff says:
    So, you can have a good hurricane year or a bad hurricane year. In a good hurricane year it is possible to have a bad hurricane, and in a bad hurricane year you can avoid a ba... read more
  • April 3, 2013 at 2:27 pm
    gregsmith says:
    time for the good forcaster to give it up - you can only "cry wolf " so many times
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