hurricane modeling News

Early CSU Hurricane Season Forecast Calls for ‘Above-Average’ Activity

The team of hurricane researchers at Colorado State University has predicted an above-average Atlantic hurricane season for 2025. CSU’s initial forecast of the hurricane season issued April 3 calls for 17 named storms and nine hurricanes – with four major …

AI Weather Models Have Shown Promise This Hurricane Season

When Hurricane Beryl was rushing across the Atlantic basin in July, the weather forecasting tool made by Google Deepmind, the tech company’s artificial intelligence unit, saw something other models missed. Deepmind’s AI-driven program, called GraphCast, forecast the storm would take …

Experts Predict Impacts of $25B+ Milton Hit to Insurers, Reinsurers

A wide cone of uncertainty surrounds insurance experts’ pre-landfall predictions about the state of the industry that will prevail in the aftermath of Hurricane Milton, with most viewing it as a $20 billion-plus loss event. Amid the volumes of commentary …

Artificial Weatherman? AI Could Better Predict Hurricanes, Research Paper Says

Artificial Intelligence may be the key to more accurate and more timely hurricane predictions, China-based researchers have reported in the scientific journal Nature. In two papers in the journal, the researchers, including scientists affiliated with the Chinese tech company Huawei, …

How One Computer Forecast Model Botched Hurricane Ian

As Hurricane Ian bore down on Florida, normally reliable computer forecast models couldn’t agree on where the killer storm would land. But government meteorologists are now figuring out what went wrong – and right. Much of the forecasting variation seems …

Hurricane Alley Hasn’t Been This Quiet in a Quarter Century

The Atlantic crucible of hurricanes hasn’t had a storm all month and if the calm holds it will stand as the quietest August in 25 years. The expanse of ocean between Africa and the Caribbean Sea has only had two …

NYC, Miami, Tampa, New Orleans Tops Among Storm-Surge Exposed Cities

New York, Miami, Tampa, and New Orleans are the metro areas with the most single-family homes at risk of heavy damage from storm surge during hurricanes, according to a report released by CoreLogic, a property data analytics firm. Using housing …

Coronavirus Could Complicate Hurricane Response, Warns Catastrophe Modeler

“Hurricanes and COVID-19 are not a good mix,” says catastrophe modeling firm Karen Clark & Co., warning in a report that the pandemic will make what forecasters already predict to be an above-average hurricane season even more difficult. KCC highlighted, …

Report: The Southeast’s Storm Surge Risk and Florida’s Hurricane Wake-Up Call

The Southeast has seen its fair share of natural disasters and flooding in the last several years, including two hurricanes in Florida last year – the first hurricanes to hit the state in more than a decade. But none of …

South Carolina Approves Updated RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models

Versions of global catastrophe risk management firm RMS’ North Atlantic Hurricane Models have been approved by South Carolina’s Department of Insurance for the purpose of residential rate filings. Approval for the hurricane model versions 15.0 and 15.0.1 was provided on …