pandemic model News

What’s a Life Worth? America Weighs Costs, Benefits of Social Distancing

We are becoming a nation of amateur actuaries, calculating the risk of restarting our lives. Can we go outside? Can we go back to work? Can we go to a restaurant or bar? Can we go to the beach? Can …

AIR Worldwide Estimates Global COVID-19 Deaths Could Reach 644,000 During June

The number of COVID-19 cases globally over the next four weeks may reach 50 million total cases, with 644,000 estimated deaths, according to estimates provided by Verisk’s catastrophe modeling unit, AIR Worldwide, on May 20. As of May 19, 2020, …

AIR Worldwide Launches Free COVID-19 Catastrophe Modeling Tool

AIR Worldwide has launched a free COVID-19 catastrophe modeling tool, one that predicts cases and offers death projections for the weeks ahead. The company said its Verisk COVID-19 Projection Tool, designed with AIR’s pandemic modeling data, will provide COVID-19 case …

‘Uncertainty Is the Only Certainty’ When it Comes to Pandemic Modeling

A statistical model cited by the White House generated a slightly less grim figure Monday for a first wave of deaths from the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S. – a projection designed to help officials plan for the worst, including …

AIR Worldwide Estimates COVID-19 Global Deaths Could Rise 10K-30K by End of March

AIR Worldwide, the Boston-based catastrophe risk modeling firm, projected the number of severe cases of COVID-19 could range between 200,000 and 900,000 globally, with deaths ranging from 10,000 to 30,500, from now until April 1. During the same time period …

AIR Worldwide Uses Pandemic Model to Determine Countries at Highest Risk

AIR Worldwide published an evaluation of potential coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases in other countries, using its pandemic model to run hypothetical scenarios, which could reveal those countries at the highest risk for onward infections. In these scenarios, AIR simulated …

AIR Worldwide Expands Global Pandemic Model to Include 6 Additional Diseases

Boston-based catastrophe risk modeling firm AIR Worldwide (AIR) announced it has expanded its Global Pandemic Model to include outbreaks of six additional diseases. The model now explicitly accounts for nine pathogens, including bacterial and viral diseases, in addition to previously …