Natural catastrophes and man-made disasters in the first half of 2019 were responsible for USD $44 billion of economic losses globally, according to Swiss Re Institute’s preliminary sigma estimates.
This figure is well below USD $109 billion, the average first-half economic losses of the previous 10 years. It is also lower than the losses of USD $51 billion reported for the same period a year earlier.
Of the total global economic losses in the first half of 2019, about 42% or USD $19 billion were covered by insurance, the main driver being thunderstorms and flooding events in different parts of the world. More than 5,000 people lost their lives or went missing in disaster events during the period.
Of the USD $44 billion in total global economic losses, natural catastrophes accounted for the majority, or USD $40 billion in the first half of 2019, compared with USD $45 billion in the year-earlier period. The remaining USD $4 billion of losses were caused by man-made disasters. Global insured losses from natural catastrophes fell to USD $15 billion from USD $21 billion the year before, while insured losses from man-made disasters decreased to USD $4 billion from USD $5 billion.
Only about 42% of the global economic losses were insured (compared with 52% in the first half of 2018) as several large-scale disaster events, such as cyclone Idai in southern Africa and cyclone Fani in India, occurred in areas with low insurance penetration. Cyclone Idai, which caused strong winds and severe flooding across Mozambique, Malawi, Zimbabwe and Madagascar, was the deadliest natural catastrophe in the first half of this year, claiming more than 1 000 victims. Economic losses from cyclone Idai are estimated at least at USD $2 billion, of which only about 7% were insured.
“The experience of the first half of this year has once again exposed the existing protection gap issues in emerging countries,” commented Martin Bertogg, head of Catastrophe Perils at Swiss Re. “For example, cyclone Idai showed just how fragile African coastal communities are. And in India, cyclone Fani inflicted widespread damage and large uninsured losses. Similarly, the nature and location of the events underline the theme of secondary perils taking a larger share of the overall loss burden, as we analyzed in more detail in our last catastrophe sigma.”
Secondary perils such as thunderstorms, torrential rains and snowmelt caused the highest losses through wind and water damage in the first half of 2019 in many regions of the world, including the U.S., Canada, Europe, Australia, China and Iran. Swiss Re Institute’s sigma estimates the total economic losses of these events at USD $32 billion. Approximately USD $13 billion of these losses were insured.
As in the first half of 2018, several parts of the world also experienced heatwaves and dry weather conditions this year, with temperature records broken in several locations, particularly in Europe. The full impact of the extreme summer weather is yet to be determined.
“Intense heatwaves and dry spells of the like we’ve seen over the last few years are expected to become more frequent, exacerbating the conditions conducive to wildfires and agriculture losses,” Bertogg said “We also expect more variable rain patterns, as rising temperatures load the atmosphere with more vapour. Society will need to adapt and prepare for these increasing occurrences.”
Source: Swiss Re Institute
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