Climate Prediction Center (CPC) News

La Nina Arrives, Threatening More Droughts, Storms and Supply Disruptions

A weather-roiling La Nina appears to have emerged across the equatorial Pacific, setting the stage for worsening droughts in California and South America, frigid winters in parts of the U.S. and Japan and greater risks for the world’s already strained …

Expected La Niña Could Last Through 2020-21 Winter, Says U.S. Climate Center

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday forecast the development of La Niña pattern during the August-October season, and is expected to last through the 2020-21 winter. There is a chance of about 60% that La Niña will develop during …

There’s 65% Chance That Weak El Niño Will Emerge in Spring, Says U.S. Weather Service

There is a 65 percent chance of an El Niño weather pattern emerging during the northern hemisphere spring this year, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday. “However, given the timing and that a weak event is favored, significant …

NOAA : Fewer Atlantic Storms Now Expected for Rest of Hurricane Season

Conditions in the ocean and the atmosphere are producing a less active Atlantic hurricane season than initially predicted in May. Forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center said the likelihood of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season is now 60 percent, up …

La Niña Has 55% Chance of Waning During March-May, Says National Weather Service

The current La Niña phase of the climate cycle will most likely transition during the March-May season to ENSO-neutral conditions, a U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday, a development that brings equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures, rainfall patterns and winds …

Chances of La Niña Top 85%, Says National Weather Service

A U.S. government weather forecaster said on Thursday that La Niña conditions are likely to persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter. La Niña is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean and is linked with floods …

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Starts Off Slowly

The eastern Pacific hurricane season is starting off with a whimper. While one short-lived tropical storm developed off Mexico’s Pacific coast last week, the earliest on record, computer models show another one isn’t likely soon, said Jeff Masters, co-founder of …

Full-Fledged El Nino Increasingly Likely in Second Half 2017

El Nino conditions are developing across the Pacific with an increasing probability that a full-fledged El Nino episode will occur during the second half of 2017. Pacific equatorial winds have slackened since the start of the year and a characteristic …

Will 2016 See More Atlantic Hurricanes? Scientists Disagree

This summer and fall, the Atlantic Ocean might become a testing ground for competing scientific theories. After decades of warmth, there’s evidence that the ocean is cooling, a change that could mean fewer of the hurricanes that wreak havoc on …

Hurricane Season Ends: Atlantic Stayed Below Normal; Pacific Set Records

The Atlantic, eastern and central Pacific hurricane seasons officially ended yesterday, and as NOAA predicted, the Atlantic season stayed below normal with 11 named storms, while the eastern and central Pacific were above normal with both regions shattering all-time records. …